Following Zimbabwe's historic 23-run win over Australia yesterday, Group B of ICC Men's 2026 T20 World Cup has been thrown wide open. With Sri Lanka and Zimbabwe sitting pretty at the top, the 2021 champions (Australia) are now walking a tightrope.

Here is the updated Super 8 qualification scenario as of February 14, 2026:

1. Sri Lanka - Played: 2 | Won: 2 | Lost: 0 | Points: 4 | NRR: +3.125

2. Zimbabwe - Played: 2 | Won: 2 | Lost: 0 | Points: 4 | NRR: +1.984

3. Australia - Played: 2 | Won: 1 | Lost: 1 | Points: 2 | NRR: +1.100

4. Ireland - Played: 2 | Won: 0 | Lost: 2 | Points: 0 | NRR: -2.175

5. Oman - Played: 2 | Won: 0 | Lost: 2 | Points: 0 | NRR: -4.306

Qualification Scenarios by Team (Group B)

Sri Lanka (90% Chance)

The co-hosts are in the driver's seat. Sri Lanka need just one win from their remaining two matches (vs. Australia and Zimbabwe) to mathematically guarantee a Super 8 spot.

Feb 14: Ireland vs. Oman (SSC, Colombo)

Feb 16: Australia vs. Sri Lanka (Pallekele) - Elimination Match for Australia

Feb 17: Ireland vs. Zimbabwe (Pallekele)

Feb 19: Sri Lanka vs. Zimbabwe (Colombo)